Thursday, August 14, 2008

The Browning of the U.S. Accelerated

The U.S Bureau of the Census released a demographic report projecting that the current n0n-Hispanic white population of the U.S. (now 66%) will be transformed into a minority by 2042. It had previously projected that this would happen after 2050. (See NY Times article.) California and Texas have already got to that point. The speed up of the day minorities -- Hispanic whites, Asians, blacks, Native-American, Pacific Islanders, and mixed-race -- become the majority will be due mostly to continued immigration and the birth-rate of Hispanics. Currently there are 47 million Hispanics in the U.S., but by 2050 the Census Bureau expects 133 million. The U.S. will have grown to more than 400 million, making Hispanic around a third of the population. Demographic projections is no an exact science, since cultural attitudes and public policy can make a difference. Still the report comes as a jolt. Already nativist groups are calling for an end to immigration. The immigrtion debate after the elections will reflect the new projections.

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